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主题:当代世界经济和金融的核心问题 -- 倥偬飞人

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家园 当代世界经济和金融的核心问题

可以这么说,如果不明白下面提到的这些问题,就谈不上了解当今金融市场和经济问题的实质。

"High concentrations of money and power provide trigger points for economic calamity that can be brought about by relatively few individuals or institutions. The potential harm which can arise from acts of malfeasance represents a moral hazard in our investment environment. Some financial theorists would argue that this risk is “priced in” to our investments so that what we invest in is fairly valued with respect to its risks. I see little sound rationale to accept this point of view. Risks that can be perceived and quantified can perhaps be priced in to arrive at an estimate of fair value for an investment. Many risks, such as the moral hazard of malfeasance, cannot be effectively quantified. The media, institutional, and governmental approach to representing these types of risks to the general investor seems to be to marginalize these risks. This approach gives a false sense of security and the impression that these risks are non-significant. This may be necessary to manage the perceptions of the general investor and retain confidence in the financial markets. From the perspective of the individual, this approach breeds complacency where there should be vigilance in the wise management of one’s assets."

Except from: The Emperor's Clothes: Megatrends Affecting Your Financial and Investment Decisions

www.investmentmegatrends.com

家园 That's

indeed the distinction between risk and uncertainty. Risk can be quantified, whereas uncertainty cannot.

家园 死亡竞赛已经开始

我看出大家的日子都不好过,就看谁先倒下:

1. 中国今天出声警告美元的下跌.但抛弃美元买什么?欧元? 可能又是一个呼悠-杀跌买涨行为.买资源可以吗? 这不是炒作使人民币相对贬值?

2. 美国的好日子到头了.勒紧裤带吧!

3.英国人不是开始用信用卡支付房贷?

别忘了日本人还躲在后面....

看谁先倒下?

家园 精辟呀,大家都是被美国人忽悠够了

索罗斯如今说了:美国人借债太多,如今开始看到债主上门!

这及其可能演化成一场全球性的央行体系危机,对现代金融制度形成从未有过的挑战!看不到这一点而在股市中投机炒作,就如同蚂蚁的眼光只能够在草叶尖上打转,不知末日之将至。

黄金白银的重新货币化,有可能提上日程,加元只不过先做了代言人,狂涨!

可惜大陆同胞多年的血汗,大部分被美元贬值的狂潮吞没。

家园 去看看飞人兄的投资网站吧, 更详细的在里边。呵呵!

http://www.belevo.com/

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