主题：美国经济继续看牛？ -- Martingale
Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change
Consensus 95,000
Actual 97,000
Unemployment Rate - Level
Consensus 4.6 %
Actual 4.5 %
Average Hourly Earnings - M/M change
Consensus 0.3 %
Actual 0.4 %
Average Workweek - Level
Consensus 33.8 hrs
Actual 33.7 hrs
加上今天的jobless rate, unemployment rate down 4.4 pct.
周五nasdaq指数期货已经fill half gap 2/27大跌情况。看来美国经济继续强劲。
一打就可以刺激美国股市上扬了。我手里还有不少LMT的股票呢
房地产都已经跌到这个地步，房地产建筑商都公开承认07全年都suck, 居然建筑行业增加56000份工作，可能吗？
现在美国政府和华尔街不是一般的corrupted，因为美国实在忍受不了在房市泡沫破裂的时候，再加上股市泡沫的破灭，但是这是不可避免的，唯一能做到的就是让不明就理的小投资人和外国投资人在高位接货，帮助大庄家撤退而已。这种前景下做多，有点自投罗网的意思。
Please, the BLS are a bunch of Neo-con controlled scumbags. If people weren't scared for their life, they would have whistled blown it years ago(and it is well known the Neo-cons only let you whistle blow what they feel they can handle).
1.The BLS kept numbers low through Bush's first term, interestingly except for the UE rate, which mysteriously kept on going down.
2.Then they have a mysterious benchmark revision in the 2005-06 period
3.Now we get mysterious overinflated job growth(57,000 teachers WTF? Growth in construction even though Residential is THREE TIMES the size of Commercial or Public and a labor force rate that refuses to go up?).
Come on people, ADP shows a much clearer view of job growth even before they redid their process for this year. They showed the recovery, they now show the slowdown, which the BLS, because of political games, cannot. If they were investigated and outside accountants and stats people were brought in to run review everything:
1.Labor Force rates would rise
2.Findings of negating job growth in Bush's first term to blame the previous Admin for the "problems"
3.Creating invisible jobs from thin air(57,000 teacher again, WTF? as my mom would say, impossible this time of year) to support the Bush second term
The UE rate would be back in the 5.1-5.5% range and shake invester and international confidence. Which is why Democrats won't do a thing, because they are in power now.
It is a shamefull time to be a American with these Orwellian games being played.
15万个名额一天就申请完了，还要抽签才行。
但是另外一方面，打建筑黑工的老墨非法移民，繁荣的时候对经济有贡献，低潮的时候他们失去了工作，根本不会在就业统计数据中表现出来，这个数据比15万h1b恐怕要多十倍。
ISM服务业指数下降，汽车销售下降，房地产下降，房屋贷款业务下降，就业反而上升，你相信吗？这难道说明美国劳动生产率下降？还有一个破绽是增加了多达51000名教师职位，这个也不可信。
有时候为了增加命中率，一个人在不同公司办好几份H1B申请的。
把正规毕业找工作的哥们姐们事情都给耽误了。
北加很多 it 公司找不到人
递交多个申请，我就不能肯定了，也未必就是非法吧。
印度有人申请6个h1的。