淘客熙熙

主题:国债负利率的日本,越借钱政府赚得越多,当然不怕花钱 -- forger

共:💬86 🌺272 🌵9 新:
全看树展主题 · 分页首页 上页
/ 6
下页 末页
家园 white 一旦得手, 往死里打TG, 给全世界当典型

1.

O "得道多助 失道寡助":1949, TG 得罪了老美 花1 晓兵 字10558 2013-09-08 07:11:01

......O 再谈TPP 花17 本嘉明 字1425 2013-09-08 07:44:41

.......O a TG made 单色谱世界 花2 晓兵 字3189 2013-09-08 22:01:27

.......O TPP所代表的“新美国主义”=新进化论, kind of 花1 晓兵 字422 2013-09-08 08:25:05

........O 有效配置是否只是老美的借口 花1 yaojiajun 字16 2013-09-08 08:33:17

.........O 一旦得手, 往死里打, 给全世界当典型 花1 晓兵 字352 2013-09-08 08:48:17

.........O 经济战也是心理战 yaojiajun 字36 2013-09-08 09:04:48

.........O 四平八稳一点 花4 本嘉明 字336 2013-09-08 09:31:42

.........O 磨洋工=最好,最不可行 花1 晓兵 字673 2013-09-08 12:14:59

2.

as I posted zillions times, the biggest risk of TGchina's authoritarian system is

1) information incomplete

to be brief, market's algo is almost like that brain neuron network algo, it is almost like a general relativity theory model

it is non linear, therefore every 与环境因素有关的开关 has to be traded as one of "神经网络中高达10的15次方个突触的所有具体连接" by market as a collective information processing system, to figure out 测地线最小作用路径 for the system to survive and grow;

obviously, this means any local 伟光正=BS, and there is no an universal global 伟光正, period, or there is one, but we have not figured out yet, like GOD, it is somewhere, ever changing, "phantom of opera".

in physics, similar ising model of 3 dimensions is still challenging humanity's science, we can't figure out an analytical solution for that, we have to go market's way, or statistics physics

2) a decision making model with potentially a lot of fallacies

3)

those are present operational risks to TG, as to the long term risk of brain development BS stuff, nobody cares for now;

but operational risk could hurt you, baby

3.

white 一旦得手, 往死里打TG, 给全世界当典型

this is real, not a fallacy;

what to do?

my guess:

1) X knows all the above 1& 2, in the sense, that he knows china needs a fundamental market reform, and a political system reform as well, and you have to do both in a comprehensive way;

2) if he does that, he may better do it all together with a grand deal of getting united with 李光耀 连斩 as a 中国邦联

3) X discussed that with his red gen II club memembers

and they all said, fxxk 李光耀 连斩

4) X gambles that he can model after M's model with modern revisions of whatever, and survive the risk of "white 一旦得手, 往死里打TG", then he will be ok

4.

again, guess:

1) jpy to uncle sam/white: let all jump in shorting TGchina, yesterday;

2) uncle same to jpy: take it slow, no hurry, my fed QEed economy still sucks, your ABE QEed economy is even worse, let play this political ideological fuss with uncle X, with some military smokes, that way, we keep cooking this low but persistent volatility to stress out uncle X and those yellow Asian nearby, that way, they will do more business with USD & JPY, less with CNY;

3) uncle sam to jpy: besides, TG is still largely supported by PLA, CAS, and almost "all" of Chinese people, a very few 公知 folks still left, but barely breathing, so if you attack TG, you are attacking Chinese people, Chinese nation, you should never do that, and you can't do it anyway

4)

jpy to uncle sam: ok, got you, let's play money game, sucking it out of TGchina

5.

meantime, the world is still "life goes on"

"神经网络中高达10的15次方个突触的所有具体连接"

obviously, in the emerging AI economy powered by uncle sam's goog, fb, msft, orcl, etc, every 连接 is a trade, a business, in a AI filtered & much more effective & efficient new way of economic transactions;

with that human labor productivity could have a quantum jump, 生产可能性边界 to be expanded both internally and externatlly, human capitalism to grow out of deflation trap, into a complete new phase;

6.

where would USD & JPY be in that new world? that is likely what uncle sam cares most, most likely, and JPY is figuring that out too;

as to X & his red gen II club buddies, there is not much you can do with them anyway, as long as Chinese people like them, and as long as we can buy low from & sell high to china, long live chairman X, his "事业正在上升阶段", uncle sam told jpy before going to Beijing?

this old white guy speaks very condescendingly in talking to one yellow guy about the other yellow guy, it is almost insulting to all Asian yellow folks, period.

but again, once you yellows are divided, and even more divided in subgroup of Chinese yellows, what do you get from white wolf/gang of united ones?

they dump their BS into your mouth, ass, period, filling you up, sucking money out of you, period, and there is nothing else, kind of;

and it looks like white's self confidence, esteem, ego are coming back, quite bit.

------------

[PDF]

Neural networks in neuroscience - Universidad de Granada

www.ugr.es/~sam/index_archivos/Overview_neural_nets.pdf

by S Johnson - Related articles

Long axons, ending in terminals which form synapses to the dendrites which ... considered was basically an Ising model in which the spins were substituted for “ ...

Principles of Neural Coding - Page 545 - Google Books Result

books.google.com/books?isbn=1439853304

Rodrigo Quian Quiroga, Stefano Panzeri - 2013 - Medical

... all the above, we restricted the treatment to the simplest kind of kinetic Ising model, for pedagogical ... It describes synaptic and membrane potential dynamics.

Learning algorithm for a neural network with binary synapses ...

link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2FBF01307854

by H Khler - 1990 - Cited by 32 - Related articles

A learning mechanism for neural networks with binary synapses is defined and

家园 领域

1.也许孙正义出来收购是减少日元贬值的影响。sprint仍然问题多多。明年这个时候大概会被tmobile在规模上超越。

2.我觉得孙正义对技术的发展过于乐观了。他的预测完全是线性的,但是材料,电池,无线通信速率等都是有物理上限的。

3.我们身处一个大数据的时代,仅仅能够辨识fallacy都是不够的。很快,各种Statistical paradoxes将会扑面而来。神将披上统计的外衣,以例外为武器,消灭强者和国家。

4.领域,各个民族都在构建自己的领域。

whites以逻辑为出发点,开拓领域,并征服了物质位面。在精神位面,他们已经为逻辑找到了起点,那是一系列共识(white only)和统计结果(包括对white有用的Statistical paradoxes)。在此基础上,通过逻辑构建了价值观和法律体系。遇到在精神位面无法征服的,就从物质位面加以消灭。

对于非white,在别人的领域中作战是无法胜利的。要想构建自己的领域,就要找到自己的共识并真正理解各种统计结果。以此为基础通过严谨的逻辑搭建自己的领域。还有就是别被人家物质消灭。

TG试图在物质位面学习运用逻辑,在精神位面学习运用宗教。就像日本,一方面在物质位面印钱,一方面在精神位面购买极低回报的国债。真是矛盾啊。

领域
家园 yellows like "grand design"

1.

yellows all like "grand design"

jpy, Korean, more or less of elite's grand design for their social economic development, or a modified version of 100 % white (us/west vs soviet union) model;

2.

TG kind of does the same, more of 70% white model/soviet union;

that 30% difference is non-linear, and as a 初始条件, it may well have kicked china nation 偏微分方程 system into a totally different 轨道 in this largely "general relativity" human world, and for how many decades more?

history will tell.

on the one hand, 70% white really hurts, Marxism is an ideology, not economics;

on the other hand, marx's phd student 列宁建党建军学说 as a political operational theory and model really helped TG big time, making TG feels very good, confident, until today, with 911 lottery winning of zillion dollars, life is very good, man, and what is wrong with all you 公知 fxxking heads?(:)

3.

yellow's grand design brain model makes sense:

1)

you have to learn from white, figuring out their tricks, etc;

2)

then, as nation, after elite learned white tricks, they push the reform top down, with a centralized model of uniting the nation's resources of whatever, and to catch up with whites, kind of 后发优势林毅夫"倾国倾城" model.

3)

TG started that way too, but with M as head trader of TG hedge fund in a global market, he first longed soviet union, shorted US, kind of understandable; then he started shorting soviet union as well, and almost the whole world, long third world only, a losing trade still hurting china as of today;

then M made an another mistake, he made his entire long third world trade worthless by selling out china's only buddy 巴基斯坦, M was busy with US/UN stuff, "forgot" 巴基斯坦

印度肢解巴基斯坦,孟加拉国成立 2011-12-17 | 阅: 转: | 分享 1971年12月17日 印度和东巴基斯坦之间的战争结束 1971年12月,印度和东巴基斯坦之间的...

then D fxxked Vietnam for whatever reasons, another losing trade;

then...now we have chairman X as head trader.

4)

so, TG as an authoritarian hedge fund has a huge volatility issue, that "financial" volatility has to be hedged out by TG's political & military power, mostly domestically oriented, & obviously, the chairman X's 国安委 stuff.

4.

"神经网络中高达10的15次方个突触的所有具体连接", ising model, general relativity theory, etc, all tell us, human system as a open & dissipative system relies on information intelligence powered innovation, and that innovation is a locally happened quantization of collective processing, so far, market system resembles that very well;

where & how that local quantization of collective information processing and modeling would take place? if non-general relativity model, we have quantum, qft "probability" models, etc, basically statistical physics, kind of a somehow regulated market system, very much of what we have now, kind of almost closed near equilibrium system with some kind of borders;

with a general relativity model, we don't have a quantization model or statistical physics, nothing really;

with that, "grand design" is not going to work

and, white's "1 inner logic model" & almost "1 language" helped them out when playing games in this largely general relativity human world, among other things.

5.

human being has to be obviously very creative to survive & grow, this cloud, AI & whatever coming is really going to change the world, potentially, and that is what a non-linear event/breaking through means, and that has to be coming out of some kind of democratic "unregulated" all-out people mass brain war in an internet world, with whomever breaking out first as a new leader to lead the information intelligence hungry crowds, that kinds of people's war is very hard to be designed at top by whomever, a country should do whatever it could on the side to help its people brain war, hoping its nationally breaking out innovators could scale into the international platform and lead the world, charging the mass a huge first mover premium, the way aapl, goog, fb have been doing.

and looks like TSLA is doing this commercial space x thing already;

vs. TG's model of 两弹一星+ 王铁人+ dazai girl, kind of a commercial version of 列宁建党建军学说 ;

I hope chairman X would not have that kind of Mao fantasy still flying around in his night vision of china dream;

that is still a risk: for an adult , "神经网络中高达10的15次方个突触的所有具体连接" is pretty much all done already, "dead meat", only getting worse, for most of us.

by the way, for ising model, "markov chain" is a very predictive "probability density function" /statistical model in a some kind of 自旋平方反比 potential field.

As a result, all of us adults have risk of being "markov chained" to whatever core believe system we have in our brain, and that core believe/logic processing system once formed, is very difficult to modify, if not impossible;

kind of why 公知 五毛 folks never change here in this forum, although possibly they may all try to change themselves, once 公知 五毛=公知 五毛 for life (:)

hopefully, their "markov chain" would not go on and chain up their children's brain as well, a 公知 logic every 五毛 parent would agree, finally?(:)

6.

because innovation is so unpredictable while extremely important for the system as a whole to survive and grow, successful innovators get rewarded in a non-liner way:

winners take all, and losers? slowly phasing out as waste, "entropy", dumping out of system to conserve energy, theoretically speaking

7.

"2.我觉得孙正义对技术的发展过于乐观了。他的预测完全是线性的,但是材料,电池,无线通信速率等都是有物理上限的"

that could be true, 孙正义 as everybody else has his share of brain "markov chain";

that is kind of human collective system is non-linear, "孙正义质点"A not ="孙正义质点" B fundamentally, in newton's linear model sense, so 孙正义A + 孙正义 B is not "predicable", that is kind of a start of general relativity theory;

but "non linear" quantum chip system at room temperature are being figured out & tried out everywhere, with the most recent accomplishments reported by

量子时代临近!澳大利亚科学家制造出迄今最大量子回路-科技世界网

2013年11月23日 - 制造量子计算机的两个最大障碍是微小量子系统的精确控制和可扩展性问题,这是制造大型超高速量子计算机的关键所在。我们已经在可扩展性方面取得突破性...

8.

once humanity figures out this 量子计算机, it could drag human capitalism out of its current deflation trap easily, humanity is going to enter into a brain or AI phase of capitalism.

and obviously, 列宁帝国主义论 almost predicted this deflation stage of financial capitalism, although he missed Fed's QE, and he had this "markov chain" of Marxism somewhere in his obviously very talented brain;

"为何早期的苏共中央政治局中,一半左右是犹太人?_二战吧_百度贴吧

9条回复 - 发帖时间: 2012年3月12日

列宁和列宁的助手托洛孜基、红军的缔造人斯维尔德诺夫等等,都是犹太人。为何总人口如此之少的犹太人会在早期的苏共中央政治局中有如此大影响力 回复 yao..."

political 犹太人 traders of soviet union vs financial 犹太人 traders of US/west?

once your bet is made, hard to unwind, even it sucks.

what would be "markov chain" in chairman X's brain? everybody is obviously interested to figure it out, so you can arbitrage him, making money out of his pocket, why not?(:)

家园 日本要这么作首相怎么才能不下台呢?

你以为这容易吗?

家园 量子PC

大概就是每个人都活在梦里吧,如同thirteenth floor。

领域
家园 "遇到在精神位面无法征服的,就从物质位面加以消灭"

well said, that's kind of white's platform of 证伪 all kinds of fallacies, an important subject worth of tons of books, for us to think "smarter".

文小刚 on his "PRL rejected my paper on lattice chiral fermion theory ", kind of : ""不可证伪的理论,没啥意义"。"New theory should predict something new that is missed by the old theory." The above are very well said and they raise a very good point. The string-net theory (or the qubit theory) of elementary particles does 可证伪. It does predict something new that is missed by the old theory."

in physics, your theory has to predict something new, for all other physicists to play it out in their labs, MIT, or Qinghua, beida, period.

for money related thing, put it into global capital market, no money, no honey, period.

for any other social 精神位面 stuff, they all have their own individual platforms to play out;

vs TG's almost universal 证伪 platform of 伟光正 for almost all the games in china.

1.

and if one reads 文小刚 's "我们生活在一个量子计算机里 We live inside a quantum computer", one can finds many similarities between that and the brain map

of

夕曦:【原创】教育探索(六)—大脑神经网络是如何形成的 2012-01-31 20:20:16

DNA里携带的是一种分形的自组织规则。 [ 拿不准 ] 于:2012-01-31 20:20:16 复:3633311

这种规则中肯定有与环境因素有关的开关。

这也是形成多样型的基础。

2.

as you said, fallacies & 证伪 are two sides of white bloody knife hanging on over the heads of everybody else in the current gaming phase of human system.

with that, white can argue that they figured that weapon out through a series bloody religions wars among themselves and with others, then 文艺复兴, then newton.., then market system as a platform of 证伪 all kind of social sciences/fallacies; etc;

they paid for it, supposedly.

3.

now, Chinese yellow's social science as of day 1: 修身齐家治国平天下 etc kind of model, a lot of "better" than Indian's temple of all kinds of heaven based social science models?

a heaven based fallacy can never be 证伪, that ghost is likely going to hunt Indians as a nation for how many more decades?

"修身齐家治国平天下" with a Marxism "mark up" as the lessor of two evils has a 证伪 issue as well, obviously;

科斯定理 - MBA智库百科

科斯定理(Coase Theorem)科斯定理是由诺贝尔经济学奖得主罗纳德·哈里·科斯(Ronald H. Coase)命名。他于1937年和1960年分别发表了《厂商的性质》和《社会成本问题...

and a bounce of white economics models are all about this cost of information processing, etc;

"修身齐家治国平天下" as such, is a still live "markov链" locking the mind of Chinese as a nation, to the "benefit" of TG as china's leadership group.

4.

it is all relative, if uncle sam's ass had not been covered with this Ben Fed QE economics , with 页岩油 physics of a Greece immigrant entrepreneur in US, TG's "修身齐家治国平天下" based 北京共识 model would have looked a lot of stronger;

and Russian bear would be more likely to short us/west together with TGchina.

6.

still, one cannot say Indians or Chinese are "dead meat" in terms of 精神位面 & their social belief systems, that 精神 jump could be a fallacy itself, almost, but would anybody care about it at all?

human system will never run out of fallacies, it always picks a few critical ones, then get busy with working on them, money (information, energy) made or lost, then moves on, a game of one fallacy/与环境因素有关的开关 at a time, but 同時 by zillions human animals all working on the fallacies they picked at their own location in this GR 洛伦茨流形;

and 愛因斯坦 said, folks, 測地線 is there for you guys to figure it out collectively, work with your head and ass together, and good luck(:)

-----------

[20]文小刚 2013-10-29 08:49 Re【16】 【18】

"不可证伪的理论,没啥意义"。"New theory should predict something new that is missed by the old theory." The above are very well said and they raise a very good point. The string-net theory (or the qubit theory) of elementary particles does 可证伪. It does predict something new that is missed by the old theory. See section IV D

in arXiv:1210.1281 "Topological order: from long-range entangled quantum matter to an unification of light and electrons"

http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-1116346-736093.html

家园 prof 张首晟 is working on it

杨振宁门生 to help cover uncle sam's deflation ass? (:)

and prof 张首晟's

复旦大学 alumni, china "mathematics" VP Li kind of "laid off" by chairman X? not a "good" sign?

if I were chairman X, I would do the same, when playing games, you never want to have somebody sitting near you with some kind of tricks in his pocket, tricks you have no clue about at all, regardless of whomever that person is, enemy or friend, and they are hard to identify anyway, so throw them all out, fxxk it, so what?(:)

------------

专访华人科学家张首晟:追寻电子的自旋舞步

2008年01月04日 17:12:39  来源:新华网

新华网北京1月4日电(记者黄堃)电脑技术的进一步发展受制于关键元器件的散热问题,去年刚刚被实验证实的量子自旋霍尔效应描述了奇妙的电子“自旋舞步”,有望解决这一问题。这一成果不久前入选了美国《科学》杂志评出的2007年十大科学进展。主持相关理论研究的华人科学家、美国斯坦福大学教授张首晟日前

在北京接受了新华社记者的专访。

张首晟教授说,有关霍尔效应的研究成果曾两次获得诺贝尔奖。霍尔效应最初由科学家埃德温·霍尔在19世纪末发现,是通电导体在磁场中表现出的一种特殊的电磁效应。1980年,科学家又发现在极低温和强磁场条件下,霍尔效应会呈现量子化的表现形式,这就是量子霍尔效应。量子霍尔效应中的电流几乎没有能量损失,也就是说不会发热,这引发了科学界研制新的电脑元器件的设想。

由于量子霍尔效应所需的条件是苛刻的,因此,张首晟等科学家转向研究量子自旋霍尔效应。电子是电流的载体,它除了负有电荷以外还具有一种叫做自旋的性质,这种自旋也会出现量子霍尔效应,这就是量子自旋霍尔效应。它同样没有能量损耗,并且不需要强磁场,还可能不需要低温。

张首晟教授介绍说,利用量子自旋霍尔效应有可能研制出新一代的电脑,延长摩尔定律的生命。摩尔定律认为,电脑的关键元器件晶体管会越来越小,同时随着集成度的增大,电脑的计算能力会增加。但是随着晶体管越小越密集,发热问题也就会越突出,因此许多人预言摩尔定律的有效期只能再延续十年左右。如果能在室温下实现量子自旋霍尔效应,将可以催生新的几乎不发热的电脑元器件。

张首晟教授

说:“可能在十年后目前的半导体技术潜力用完之时,会出现基于量子自旋霍尔效应的新一代电脑。”

他还专门提到,这是一个新兴领域,中国如果能抓住机会,可以抢占未来电脑技术的制高点。他的科研团队正在和中科院等单位进行相关合作。

张首晟15岁进入复旦大学学习,20岁师从杨振宁先生攻读博士学位,30岁成为斯坦福大学终身教授。他目前还担任IBM公司和斯坦福大学联合设立的自旋电子学研究中心的主任

家园 【商榷】其实真正的问题不是这个趋势

其实泥轰真正的问题不是这个收入减少的趋势,而是怎样合理的降低老百姓对于收入/生活提高的预期。简单的比方就是由奢入简。如果真正接触过泥轰社会,他们年纪较大的人身上还是有一股精神的,那股带领他们经济腾飞的精神。再回到50年代的生活水平他们就熬不过去了吗?我觉得这部分人勒紧裤腰带是熬的过去的。痛苦的是年轻的一代,他们精神上被欧美消费文化腐蚀,物质上受到经济下行的夹击,这是最痛苦的。

有什么能够很快的降低他们的预期,激发他们正在消失的奋斗潜能呢?最合理的就是战争+民族危机。

所以我是部分赞同forger的观点,如果有战争和民族危机,泥轰政府还是有足够的理由去征收民间资产和有足够民间财富可以投入到军备。在加上他们的工业基础,还是相当可怕的。相反,如果没有战争这样的大事件的刺激,泥轰可能真的会在下降的通道上沉沦。一个有底蕴的民族,有时候也就像一个人,关键时刻起作用的是精神气。

所以,不要创造一个激发泥轰的外部环境,让他们在下降通道中再沉沦20年吧。

所以,多修炼内功,着眼于自己国家的将来,让下一个波谷更平坦一点。

家园 大脑神经网络"量子效應 "

this is an another subject worth of tons of books, again, what we care about is its "core algorism", not really the "technical" details (which is "painfully" a core part of physics as well, so, we all have to be technical evils) of it, for the benefit of coding it out, potentially making a thinking model out of it, that is kind of why I heavily write in physics and math;

1.

【原创】量子化学历史拾零-前言 花23 西行的风 字425 2008-04-26 11:40:23

原创】二 从二战难民到诺贝尔 Walter Kohn 花31 西行的风 字1887 2008-04-28 00:20:13

..O KohnSham 方程突破: 再现原子的壳层结构 花4 晓兵 字9544 2013-08-19 18:06:29

...O 彭桓武: 非周期晶体能级间隔>n倍室温能量kt =遗传稳 晓兵 字551 2013-08-23 17:23:17

...O 计算化学是以后材料学的前景所在 黄土布衣 字131 2013-08-21 23:44:42

....O 科學研究本來就是循證過程 红尘有幸蓝锦夏 字97 2013-08-25 20:58:25

.....O 主要问题是现在材料方面的计算理论还不行 黄土布衣 字54 2013-09-13 22:05:25

......O 就算我歧視吧 開會遇到理論學講演我一律是不聽跑去逛街的 红尘有幸蓝锦夏 字112 2013-09-14 11:23:25

....O trial & error材料研究模式:电子的"理性" 晓兵 字2496 2013-08-22 15:14:02

....O "别人几十年甚至几百年的经验积累都成shit了" 花1 晓兵 字3152 2013-08-22 11:42:41

2.

大脑所有的神经元细胞(1000亿以上), 1 细胞 =1000 Trillion atoms, the building parts of 细胞 such as DNA, RNA, protein, all have millions of atoms each.

so, basically 大脑= a group of atoms working together as a quantum system in terms of physics, with Numbers of atoms > out of current physics model's reach.

if I remember correctly, our current physics model can only handle wave function of a few hundreds of atoms working together as a system.

"本世纪初, 人们创立了量子力学理论, 用于研究微观粒子的运动规律。1927 年海特勒和伦

敦应用量子力学原理研究了两个氢原子组成氢分子的化学键本质, 从而开创了量子化学的先

河。就在量子力学诞生后的1929 年, 当时的剑桥大学数学教授Paul Dirac 声称, 把整个化学归

结成一些数学方程的基本定律已经完全搞清楚了, 唯一的问题是方程太复杂, 以至于不能解这

些方程。Dirac 是赫赫有名的量子力学创始人之一, 他与Schrdinger 共享1933 年物理学诺贝尔

奖。Dirac 所指的方程即是现在人们熟知的研究微观粒子的Dirac 定态方程。由他的这番话足

见求解这些方程的困难。颇有趣的是当时作为剑桥大学数学系研究生的Pople 教授今天却因

为他在发展量子化学计算方法方面的贡献而获得1998 年诺贝尔化学奖。Pople 发展的计算程

序正是用于解决象分子这样复杂的化学体系的薛定谔方程。量子化学的根本问题就是求解分

子体系的薛定谔方程。由此可见, Pople 教授对量子化学发展所做贡献的伟大意义。Pople 教授

早在60 年代就率先把计算机应用于量子化学中, 在半经验量子化学计算方法方面做出了重要

的贡献。这里有大家熟知的用于研究不饱和有机分子的电子光谱的PariseParrPople 方法。

这一被称为PPP 方法的发明人之一就是Pople 教授。但是, 在当时, Pople 教授也象当年的Di

rac 一样, 认为由于对计算能力要求很高, 解决非经验的量子化学计算方法, 即便象求解

Schrdinger 方程的HartreeFock 近似解也是很难达到的。

求解Schrdinger 方程的HartreeFock 方法通常是由两个步骤来完成。第一步是把分子轨

道用一套基函数来展开。根据Boys 的建议, 这些基函数可以选用以原子为中心的高斯型函

数。应该指出, 基函数展开方法使复杂的微分方程变成比较简单的矩阵方程, 而后者特别适

合用计算机进行求解。第二步, 也是最重要的一步, 是用积分方法计算体系的各部分能量, 包

括动能、电子与电子之间的排斥能以及电子之间的交换相关能等部分。对分子体系计算这些

积分的工作量随体系电子数N 的增加而以N

4 剧增, 使得对于含多个原子的比较复杂分子的

计算无法实现"

3.

what is the point?

the point is our current chemistry/biology theory about "含多个原子的比较复杂分子" working together as "gene", "protein" system is still largely an experience based science with potentially many fallacies evils fooling around, whom we have no idea, kind of the way chairman X may not like china "mathematics" VP Li, for the same reason, nobody likes "unknown";

the physics layer of GMO is "unknown", period.

and because we don't have a 量子化学计算 model of gene, protein, or any GMO stuff etc=GMO has a huge volatility risk, either directions, or any directions;

but, who cares about that "physics" risk of GMO now? it is already in our mind and body, for good or bad, just swallow it, and good luck (:).

4.

what is the heck of that 量子化学 stuff in relation to 大脑神经网络"量子效應 "? how can I make my brain get rid of the damned "markov chain" thing, so I can think outside of box and be smarter?

well, "量子效應 " is much more related to 自旋 of 電子, atoms, etc, than anything else, with dirac equation breaking the ice for his fellow human being in getting further into "量子效應 " world, and 自旋 is both local and global, as such we have gauge field theory and model, pioneered by prof 杨振宁;

论AB效应解释的语境依赖性- 豆丁网

www.docin.com 文学/艺术/军事/历史 文物考古

轉為繁體網頁

2012年3月26日 - ... 方式,是由吴大骏和杨振宁于1975年所提出的,既不使用电磁场术语,也 ... 与场强和矢势的性质所不同,狄拉克相因子s(c)不是在特定的时空中 ...

5.

connections of human being is one of the tricks to trigger possibly 大脑神经网络"量子效應 "

孙昌璞院士做客大家讲坛谈量子效应与器件_学院新闻_山东大学物理 ...

www.phym.sdu.edu.cn/2011/1031/1413.html

轉為繁體網頁

2011年10月31日 - 报告中孙昌璞院士首先介绍了自己在光合作用中量子效应. ... 另外,孙院士还介绍了动物大规模的迁徙问题。 ... 这是一个涉及到量子力学一些基本问题的过程,即宏观微弱量对量子演化过程的影响会不会使初态 ... 孙昌璞,中国科学院院士。1996年起,任中科院理论物理所研究员。2009年11月当选为中国科学院院士。

孙昌璞 is an another student of prof 杨振宁, who taught 孙昌璞 群表示论 "trick", etc

Born-Oppenheimer近似的精确验证与经典对应张力,王成,孙昌璞(东北师范大学理论 ... 关于q一Bose代数B,人们虽然已构造了许多具体的表示,但对于表示论的基本 ...

and as I posted before, 杨振宁's father gave 杨振宁 a critical short but well written 群论 book when 杨振宁 was working on a paper assigned by 吴大骏 on some kind of "atom spectrum" problems , a book benefited him for his life, as 杨振宁 said;

6.

now with the emerging AI economy, you put 杨振宁's father, 孙昌璞 etc all in a global 3D grand classroom virtually all over the globe, teaching all the young brains of the whole world, making n% of them all become 中国科学院院士 level scientists, where this world will be in terms of whatever progresses?

7.

"量子效應 "/自旋 as an non-linear "breaking through" quantum effect of both locally & globally through of connected human 大脑神经网络 is actually the trick of 列宁建党建军组织 model, and with that model, TG powered numerous 生的伟大 死的光荣 folks, it is essentially a 自旋/"量子效應 ", or 精神原子弹;

goog, fb, amzn, tsla=kind of uncle sam's 精神原子弹 or 自旋/"量子效應 ", in a way, in today's AI war;

and in that AI platform, we can possible have our brain get rid of the damned "馬可夫鏈(Markov Chain) " and become much more productive, although we may have to pay goog etc some kind of fees.

again, I would hope that chairman X and his red gen II club buddies are not going to fight a yesterday's war of "生的伟大 死的光荣" in today's world, that would be a losing trade with potentially permanent damage to Chinese as a nation, period.

通宝推:墨虎,
家园 有些东西,一般情况下我是不信的。

比如这个链接出处

看了F大师的帖子,不信不行!

家园 债务问题浅析

债务有两种,一种是内债,这是主要是内部失衡造成的;另一种是外债,这既是内部失衡,又是内外失衡造成的,因为借外债,多是内债借不到了。

日本的债务,主要是内债,主要是内部经济失衡造成的,日本的经济可分为两大类,一是内需经济,这部分在世界上缺少竞争力,另一部分则是外需经济,在世界上竞争力是很强的,而且因为对外投资,日本海外资本的生产能力,又相当于一个日本。两种经济的存在,海外资本的巨大生产能力,便是日本债务产生的根本原因。

日本的问题,是所有发达国家的通病,只是日本最为典型。但即使利率极低,甚至为负,但本金也是要还的,日本政府能还上本金吗?答案是否定的,因为日本海外的资产,日本政府根本就受不了多少税,而人口的老龄化,和国内没有竞争力的内需经济,使得财政根本就入不敷出,只能靠借海外的资本收益来维持,这种趋势根本就不可能改变。

日本,美国等发达国家,主要是败在了自己手上,内需和外需经济的失衡,海外资产又与国内资产形成了竞争关系,就是典型的左右手互博,而立足世界的海外资产,肯定能够战胜只是立足国内市场的资产,这便是发达国家内债失控的根本原因。

本金还不上,财政入不敷出,利率再低又有何用,况且,低利率又蕴藏着巨大的风险,一旦通货膨胀,整个金融体系都会崩溃,美国的次贷危机就是典型的例证。

因为惧怕通货膨胀引发金融危机,因此发达国家不得不从国外大量进口廉价商品,这便是中国经济高速发展的外部主要原因。

而人民币的内部通胀,外部升值,主要是人民币与外币不能完全兑换造成的,如果官方的三万多亿美元储备,完全变成商品进口到国内,国内的通胀很可能消除,甚至陷入通货紧缩,如果这些外汇储备,完全被个人和企业兑换,那么至少需要二十万亿人民币,因此,一旦人民币完全可以自由兑换,人民币将会贬值,回到八时代,是很有可能的。

国家的外汇储备,与国内的个人和企业储蓄存款,两份钱其实是一分钱,一旦自由兑换,自由对外投资,两者就会抵消,外汇储备和国内存款,都会大幅消失。

至于中国的产业升级,最为关键的是缺少主体,国内市场的中高端商品,市场基本都被外资和合资企业占据,靠什么升级呀?

日本通缩,还可以苟延残喘,一旦陷入通胀,资金链断裂,就是另一个债务危机。日元贬值,首先要对付的是自己在海外的生产,其次是韩国德国,与中国交织很少,倘若日本真要与中国竞争廉价商品,那么日本是真的完蛋了。

堡垒总是从内部攻破的,海外的另一个日本,伙同韩国,美国,德国,打败了本土日本,而中国的外资和合资,促进了中国经济的发展,也限制了中国的产业升级。

全球化,信息化,带来了繁荣的同时,也带来了严重的失衡,咫尺天涯便是地球村的真实写照。

通宝推:渔儿漂漂,
家园 战争是政治的继续,

泥轰, uncle sam vs Tgchina is a complicated game, what I care as an individual is the modeling methodology part of it, and hopefully with a good model, we can guess better about each of three players, their strategies, and the outcome of the game;

1.

比特币 "case study"

@华尔街叛徒:资本市场一个最根本的问题就是“神马是无风险资产”。原来一直共同假设是美债,刚到Lehman的时候我很天真地质疑然后被无情嘲笑。现在大家逐渐开始接受这个质疑了,至少在理论层面上。基础货币和信用货币的分离可以一劳永逸解决这个问题。这才是比特币这个社会试验的根本价值,相对而言其

回复@athosliu:well said, 战争是政治的继续, including 货币的战争, 比特币 is a great try as 基础货币和信用货币的分离, & that is its fundamental weakness as well, because 基础货币和信用货币的分离 is a fantancy only, without 政府

回复@athosliu:政治 is greatly overlooked by capital market, what is Ben FED QE? it started as 政治 game, it is still a 政治 game, & awkwardly played out by finaniciers made politicians, those Fed guys; VS. china: TG=politicians made financiers playing a finance game, same trick

回复@athosliu:政治家 is always the last resort to bail a society out of its crisis mode, US conventional 政治家 were fxxked up by its 公知 system, then you have FED to take over & play 政治家 without constraint of 公知 system, 政治家 as 战争家 of a nation, 本质上不受约束, 最终力

2.

I will come back with more comments, but for now, TG seems to have over played and over leveraged on its 政治 card, vs uncle sam, more of a more well rounded player, playing a portfolio of cards, and yes, there are tons of other factors, other than playing model/strategy part;

TG, and Chinese as a nation, needs to learn how to play a portfolio of cards, and yes, you have to have a bounce of cards in your hand first, other than 政治 card.

家园 你忘了一个大问题,中国制造日本威胁

起到的效果比日本好用十倍,十几亿人嘛,日子过得不是太好,挺过日本还是绰绰有余的。而且日本真的重整军备恐怕美国俄罗斯要先跳出来了,日本的问题是他是狗缰绳在美国手里,适时的叫一叫可以,但是真的想壮大起来,美国第一个勒死它。美国要是勒不住他了,也就无所谓了,中国会搞不死一个没有美国支持的日本?都压不住日本了,美国市场就那么好进了?

日本比中国强的地方是基础工业,美国要得了那么多基础工业产品?世界上只有一个最大的需求者-TG,但是TG却是那种不断蚕食日本份额的本身就拥有大量基础工业备份的那种需求者,so日本

等死吧。

现在只能假设日本中断向中国输出基础工业产品,从而用自己的强项加上还没有完蛋的终端制造业去占领美国市场,可是欧洲美国却不会给他这个机会

现在打压中国的唯一机会就是马上对中国全面封锁,我看不管是犹太人也好共济会骷髅会也好没人敢下这个大棋。天命所归没什么好说的

家园 for chairman X: 内政=#1 挑戰

uncle sam clearly knows that, the whole world is watching him, this 識別區/ jpy thing is a side show;

now that show is about where it should be, uncle sam to X: no further messing around, to jpy, you yell out whatever your propaganda, but remember, 識別區 is not going to be a make or break thing for chairman X;

what is make or break thing?

economics is one, but even more importantly, politics, or "human resources" or your political troops is number 1 priority for a politician;

1.

X's military command is not an issue, and partially because of that, he may not need to over play 識別區 card at all.

on the other hand, X can't use military troops to co-manage china the way M did during cultural revolution, M basically smashed TG's political machine.

2.

what to do with TG's political machine? that is the 内政=#1 挑戰 for chairman X.

so, far, looks like X is a little confused;

1) He did not use Wangqishan, Dr L, in that 3rd plenary meeting "china economic reform" document draft leadership group, he instead used Liu, zhang, the two "light weight" ideological guys;

X did not use Dr.L, understandable, he did not use W, an undisputed finance and economics expert, not understandable=X is not confident or skilled enough to command and utilize Wang qishan as an important resource, W can contribute much more to him, but it looks like X has not figured out how to manage W.

3.

then, the old political machine before him:

what to do with Zhou, if you kill Zhou, what about Wen, and others, all big top members including X's family relatives got tons of money, how to play this "kill tiger" game?

if you don't how to play it, and make political money out of that game, why get started? and he has not really started the "kill tiger" game, partially because he may not have a model figured out yet.

again, X made a lot of smokes, understandably, he may be still in the middle of figuring out a game plan of "kill tiger"

4.

fundamentally, chairman X as TG's head trader internationally, is now reasonably respected internationally, partially because the game is now more of money game than anything, all whites want to do business with chairman X, why offending him? chairman X as TG's head trader manages all big positions/trades of zillions dollars, do you want to do business with him?

yes? then you know what to do in a conventional business practice & transactions;

domestically, or more importantly inside TG's powerful political system, X is the only market maker, can X really 断了財路 of those senior traders at various level of TG's internal market of political machine?

everything is expensive, how do you let your political troops make a reasonably good money adjusted by inflation by working their ass off for you?

does he have an answer for that? likely not, then why and how to play this 反腐败打老虎 game?

you can't play a 小孩蒙眼睛过家家 game.

5.

as a #1 political boss, you can play M's model, if you have M's vision, talent, capacity, ability, aptitude, ability, then you don't care about "attitude/political skill" stuff, you just push your strategy/policy top down through the rank and files, and with a few big battles/wars won and money made, your troops will get formed out aligning around you automatically as your political machine, available at your will for you to use, and solute to you, boss is boss;

D, J, kind of all like that, more or less

the other model is H, he knows his limits, so he basically act like a project manager or moderator or coordinator, vs a leader, and let all traders do their jobs, get all businesses done, makes good money on the way, and H was lucky anyway, J won that 911/WTO lottery for china around 2001, H just rided that bull market out, to the "last" wave of it, then he retired, giving up all the power, enjoying life, leaving behind him a Ponzi game of world #2 size (#1 japan) for X to figure it out;

6.

so far, it looks like X's biggest problem is:

He is not in M, D, J class, and he does not want to be H, partially because X does not have a bull market "luck" to take an easy ride, X actually has to trade his way out of the unfolding of likely a bear market for china.

and again, it seems that chairman X does not have any of M, D, J level quality, in terms of vision, ability, capacity; and regardless of bull market or bear market, if you are not M, D, J, then you better have H's attitude, aptitude, political skill, and it looks like X does not have H's portfolio either;

Chinese nation is obviously a very powerful resourceful nation in terms of 内功软功夫 in particular, and a nation highly leveraged on its political elite leadership, a clear pattern of its 5k year history;

so, for chairman X, #1 挑戰 is 内政, which boils down to one simple question: how to keep TG's super powerful political troops together?

#2, at what cost? #3, #4, etc

only with a reasonably motived and well commanded TG political troop, chairman X can then lead the country of 1.5B people;

can he do it? does he have a model for that job?

only history can tell.

家园 关键是时间,时间在中国一边

除非美日欧马上行动且团结一致,可惜,一战二战的超级领袖们的才具传下来都是竖子,大家都在碧蓝,恰好根据马克思主义,资本主义发展程度越高的,烂得更快一些

全看树展主题 · 分页首页 上页
/ 6
下页 末页


有趣有益,互惠互利;开阔视野,博采众长。
虚拟的网络,真实的人。天南地北客,相逢皆朋友

Copyright © cchere 西西河