淘客熙熙

主题:Trump成功地把自己玩死了 -- 笑看风雨

共:💬21 🌺63
全看分页树展 · 主题
家园 Trump成功地把自己玩死了

昨天我发帖说,Trump成功地毁掉了共和党:

Trump成功地把共和党分裂了,所以民主党就轻易能够获胜。

顺便说一句,Trump在2009年之前是民主党人。

大家以为美国大选是《雍正王朝》,原来是《无间道》。

笑看风雨:恭喜Trump,成功毁掉了共和党

评论Georgia的参议员选举:

这样联邦政府的立法和行政分支均被民主党掌控。

联邦层面Trump不能被赦免(他已被impeach,根据宪法不可被赦免),而New York和Georgia两州的州层面的违法犯罪他更是难以逃脱。

Trump现在应该考虑的,是要不要赶紧逃到俄罗斯。当然,俄罗斯也不一定保他。

形式变化快,现在他已经不是要“赶紧逃到俄罗斯”,而是会不会提前被赶下台的问题。

美国宪法第25修正案规定了,副总统和半数以上的内阁成员可以向国会参众两院提交文书,声明总统无法履行职责,将总统职权立即转移到副总统手里。

如总统认为自己可以履行职权,总统可以向国会提交声明,声称自己可以履行职责。但如副总统和半数以上的内阁成员在4天内再次向国会参众两院提交文书,声称总统无法履行职权,则此争议在国会表决(同时总统职权由副总统行使)。国会有21天的时间对此进行表决,如参众两院均以2/3多数认为总统不能履行职权,则副总统继续履行总统职责,否则总统拿回总统权力。

Section 4.

Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.

Thereafter, when the President transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that no inability exists, he shall resume the powers and duties of his office unless the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive department or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit within four days to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office. Thereupon Congress shall decide the issue, assembling within forty-eight hours for that purpose if not in session. If the Congress, within twenty-one days after receipt of the latter written declaration, or, if Congress is not in session, within twenty-one days after Congress is required to assemble, determines by two-thirds vote of both Houses that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall continue to discharge the same as Acting President; otherwise, the President shall resume the powers and duties of his office.

25th Amendment, U.S. Constitution - Cornell University

所以Pence只要和半数以上的内阁成员,以及国会参众两院的领袖(就是Pelosi和McConnell)达成一致,就可以立即停止Trump的职权,Pence行使总统职权直至1月20日。

当然,另一条路就是直接弹劾,只需众院过半数和参院超过2/3多数即可。

我目前的估计还是,大概率既不会使用25修正案也不会弹劾,直到1月20号Trump下台。但如果他再闹,那么25修正案或者弹劾肯定会发生,甚至是先25修正案再弹劾。

全看分页树展 · 主题


有趣有益,互惠互利;开阔视野,博采众长。
虚拟的网络,真实的人。天南地北客,相逢皆朋友

Copyright © cchere 西西河