主题：【原创】从NEJM新论文开始的无厘头预测 -- 菜根谭

虽然美国的统计确认有17.5万人死于新冠病毒，但是在2020年前7个月里，死亡人数比往年多21.5万人，这表明在这个世界上受冠状病毒影响最严重的国家里，新冠肺炎的死亡人数可能被低估了。在日本，新感染的病例可能达到高峰；而在意大利，病例激增；西班牙的病毒感染已经“失控”。华尔街正忙着检测选用哪种疫苗最好。

［原文出自Bloomberg 08-21-2020 的通讯 email］

Though there are 175,000 confirmed U.S. deaths from the coronavirus, as many as 215,000 more people than usual died during the first seven months of 2020, pointing to a likely undercounting of the pandemic’s toll on America, the world’s worst-hit nation. In Japan, new infections may be peaking, while cases are spiking in Italy and infections in Spain are “ out of control.” Wall Street is busy trying to handicap which vaccine is the best bet. Here is the latest on the pandemic.