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主题:03/23/2009 Market View -- 宁子
Upside:
Play Date: 03/23/2009
AKAM (Akami Technologies--$19.79; +1.66; optionable): Internet services (accelerating/improving delivery of content)
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/a/akam.html
After Hours: $19.65
EARNINGS: 02/04/2009
STATUS: Ascending base. AKAM showed some solid volume Monday with trade coming in just above average as it cracked through the 200 day SMA (19.67) and cleared the recent highs. Want to see AKAM continue higher through the 200 day and we will look to move into positions as it does. We will then see how it tests the move and on a successful test, complete the buy.
Volume: 5.828M Avg Volume: 5.101M
BUY POINT: $19.91 Volume=6.5M Target=$23.89 Stop=$18.52
POSITION: UMU DW - May $17.50c (76 delta) or UMU HD - Aug. $20c (51 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/akam.html
Play Date: 03/23/2009
CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill--$63.83; +2.72; optionable): Fast food restaurants
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/cmg.html
After Hours: $63.83
EARNINGS: 02/11/2009
STATUS: Cup w/handle. After a solid break higher last Wednesday that moved CMB up to the early January high in its 12 week base, it faded back to test on low volume and then bounced modestly Monday. Wednesday it broke through the 200 day SMA (60.80) on that strong trade and this pullback tested that move, tapping it Monday on the low and then bouncing. Not a lot of trade Monday and it might take another day or two to finish the lateral move to form the handle, but CMG looks very good and if it continues higher on a solid volume bump we can move into positions.
Volume: 396.256K Avg Volume: 608.159K
BUY POINT: $64.02 Volume=750K Target=$74.95 Stop=$60.57
POSITION: CMG FL - June $60c (62 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/cmg.html
Play Date: 03/23/2009
ISIL (Intersil Holdings--$12.05; +0.70; optionable): Semiconductors
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/i/isil.html
After Hours: $12.05
EARNINGS: 01/28/2009
STATUS: Test breakout. ISIL broke higher mid-March, clearing the February peak in its uptrend channel. It has since worked laterally in a short ascending triangle over near support at the 10 day EMA (11.50), moving on lower, below average volume. Very nice lateral move that is setting up the next break higher, taking ISIL on a new trajectory toward the 200 day SMA (15.68). Want to see the volume kick back up as it makes the move. Nice set up.
Volume: 2.706M Avg Volume: 3.801M
BUY POINT: $12.41 Volume=5M Target=$14.95 Stop=$11.54
POSITION: UFH GB - July $10c (77 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/isil.html
Play Date: 03/23/2009
MBT (Mobile Telesys--$32.31; +2.98; optionable): Russian wireless
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/m/mbt.html
After Hours: $31.24
EARNINGS: 03/11/2009
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Sure enough MBT bounced off the 10 day EMA (29.05) test, gapping higher Monday. The trade was not great, however and MBT may come back and continue the test a bit more. If it continues on up with rising trade we can start some positions off this move; not going to turn away from a strong break higher. If it drags out laterally some that is fine as well, setting up a better point to rally from.
Volume: 1.967M Avg Volume: 2.325M
BUY POINT: $32.48 Volume=3M Target=$38.95 Stop=$30.21
POSITION: MBT FF - June $30c (62 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/mbt.html
Play Date: 03/23/2009
PCLN (Priceline.com--$82.11; +4.12; optionable): Online ticketing, hotels, auto rentals
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/p/pcln.html
After Hours: $82.11
EARNINGS: 02/18/2009
STATUS: Pennant. PCLN made us great money off the November low, set up again January to February, then gapped away on earnings. After that gap it ran to the 200 day SMA and then started this 3-week test, falling back to its November/February up trendline. Monday PCLN jumped off that test on a good jump in above average volume. It rallied up to the 200 day SMA (now at 81.92) and held there. PCLN looks ready to negotiate a price breakout here, following some surging money flow higher. When it cuts loose it runs like the wind so as it makes the break over the 200 day we will be ready to move in, and if it gives us a test after that we will look to move in again.
Volume: 1.747M Avg Volume: 1.501M
BUY POINT: $82.54 Volume=2M Target=$94.95 Stop=$78.87
POSITION: PUZ GP - July $80c (61 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/pcln.html
Play Date: 03/23/2009
SNDA (Shanda Interactive Ent.--$36.36; +2.43; optionable): Chinese internet services
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/snda.html
After Hours: $36.36
EARNINGS: 02/27/2009
STATUS: Test 18 day EMA. Another play that made us money, came back to test, and then shot higher Monday. Very strong volume as it gapped, tested, and then surged to close near the session high. Good action of near support, and this is the first test of its solid breakout, giving us a good point to move in for a new play. Looks ready to surge once more after this breakout test.
Volume: 1.718M Avg Volume: 843.475K
BUY POINT: $36.69 Volume=1M Target=$42.45 Stop=$34.12
POSITION: QKU FG - June $35c (62 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/snda.html
- 相关回复 上下关系4
🙂THE ECONOMY 宁子 字3300 2009-03-23 21:58:19
🙂THE MARKET 宁子 字6948 2009-03-23 21:59:16
🙂TUESDAY 宁子 字7272 2009-03-23 22:00:31
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